Pakistan’s War on Terror Up to and Beyond 2014

Whereas Pakistan continues to be a frontline state within the world battle on terror, it's concurrently combating home terrorism in a battle that can seemingly proceed nicely past 2014. In latest months, terror assaults focusing on the Shia Hazara minority in Baluchistan point out a change of the fear drawback in Pakistan. The Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi current two completely different sides of Pakistan’s terrorism drawback, nonetheless, the 2 organizations have more and more converged operationally to the extent that Pakistan can't eradicate one with out concurrently confronting the opposite. BACKGROUND: The September 11 terrorist assaults on the U. S. by which hundreds of harmless lives had been misplaced led Pakistan to affix the U. S. -led world battle towards worldwide terrorism by which Pakistan has through the years made a useful contribution. Nonetheless, with the passage of time, Washington more and more got here to view Islamabad as a part of the issue somewhat than the answer. Most U. S. and European coverage makers consider that Pakistan is offering a protected haven for the Taliban and Al-Qaeda. Western media is stuffed with tales a few presence of the Taliban management in Pakistan, together with of Mullah Omar’s alleged base in Quetta. For the reason that summer season of 2008, U. S. navy and intelligence companies are sharing minimal intelligence with its Pakistani counterparts, as a substitute specializing in drone assaults towards suspected terrorist actions and hideouts. Pakistan is a signatory to the UN’s Palermo Conference. On the regional stage, Pakistan has signed and ratified SAARC Regional Conference on the Suppression of Terrorism and the SAARC Conference on Narcotic Medication Substances and the ECO Protocol towards medicine. It has extradition treaties with 29 nations and bilateral agreements or MOUs on terrorism with 50 nations. Pakistan has performed a serious position in eliminating quite a few terror networks such because the Al-Qaeda Anthrax community, the Alghuraba community, the UK-based Anglo-Pakistani group and Jundullah. Outstanding targets captured embody Khalid Sheikh Muhammad, Abu Alfaraj Alibi, Al Shib, Abu Zubaida, Abu Talha, Khalid bin Attash or Walid bin Attish, Ahmed Khalfan Ghailani, Mohammad Naeem Noor Khan, Abu Laith al-Libi, Hasan Bana, Hamza Rabbi, Sharif Al Masri, Abu Mushab Masri, Jaffar Uttayyar Alkashmiri Yassir Al-Jaziri, and Abdul Rehman Al-Masri. Umar Patek was arrested in Abbottabad by Pakistani forces and will have offered essential results in Osama bin Laden’s whereabouts. Since 9/11, Pakistan has additionally turn into a sufferer of terrorism. The direct and oblique price suffered by Islamabad within the battle on terror has been round US$ 35 billion. There was a continuing enhance within the variety of terror assaults in Pakistan since 9/11 and quite a few distinguished Pakistanis have misplaced their lives in such assaults. These embody the two-time Prime Minister of Pakistan Benazir Bhutto and the previous head of the Pakistan Military’s Particular Service Group, Maj. Gen. (Rtd) Ameer Faisal Alvi. Many of the jihadists in Pakistan, particularly the splinter teams of varied organizations, are actually working below the umbrella of TTP, a Deobandi Sunni group established in December 2007. TTP’s targets embody cleaning Pakistan of overseas, which means the U. S. and total Western, presence, implementing Sharia and establishing a Caliphate. Through the years, TTP has been concerned in quite a few suicide bombings, rocket assaults, distant managed bombs, abductions, and beheadings. It has widened its space of operations past Pakistan’s tribal areas and focused quite a few authorities installations and organizations within the mainland, together with the Federal Investigation Company’s Lahore workplace, the Naval Warfare Faculty in Lahore, the Marriott Resort in Islamabad, the Wah ordinance Manufacturing unit, the Sri Lankan cricket group in Lahore, a police coaching faculty, the GHQ Rawalpindi and the Navy’s Mehran base in Karachi. Additionally it is concerned in kidnapping for ransom, financial institution robberies, compelled taxes and drug commerce. IMPLICATIONS: Since 9/11, the TTP has more and more converged with the staunchly anti-Shia militant group Lashkar-e-Jhangvi. Quite a lot of distinguished TTP operations had been performed by identified Lashkar-e-Jhangvi operatives. In latest months, the Hazaras in Baluchistan are more and more turning into a main goal of the Lashkar-e-Jhangvi. Each TTP and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi take into account Shias kafirs (infidels) and therefore official targets. Terrorist actions confirmed no signal of receding in 2012, indicating that after greater than a decade of combating terror, Pakistan is nowhere near the ending line on this battle and the issue is taking an excellent uglier form. In accordance with varied sources, Pakistan suffered greater than 6000 casualties in numerous terror assaults in 2012. Greater than 450 terror assaults had been recorded in 2012 by which at the least 39 had been confirmed suicide assaults. One other essential growth in 2012 was the rising operational alliance between the TTP and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, though the 2 teams have cooperated with one another additionally prior to now, the group led by Amjad Farooqi in 2003-2004 being a living proof. Nonetheless, in 2012 the 2 teams largely converged operationally within the sense that they declared a battle towards Shias. This convergence has resulted within the worst assaults to this point towards Shias, particularly the Hazaras in Baluchistan. In 2012, Shias had been focused in 113 assaults by which 396 individuals misplaced their lives, indicating the more and more sectarian options of Pakistan’s terrorism drawback. Up to now, greater than a thousand terror-related deaths have occurred in 2013. Aside from a more in-depth alliance rising between TTP and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi, TTP has additionally established Ansar Al-Aseerian (Helpers of the prisoners) in partnership with the Islamic Motion of Uzbekistan. In accordance with media experiences, Adnan Rasheed has been appointed the top of this group. The aim of this group is to free all militants held in custody by Pakistani safety forces and in varied jails. TTP can be making an attempt to increase its actions and space of affect to Karachi, Pakistan’s main monetary hub. Karachi, which can be thought-about to be Pakistan’s main Pashtun middle, has been a most well-liked hideout for TTP, whereas some TTP and different jihadi activists have acquired medical remedy in Karachi. 2013 additionally witnessed two developments that can have lengthy lasting impact on Pakistan’s battle towards terrorism. Firstly, Pakistan’s nationwide Meeting unanimously handed the Nationwide Counter Terrorism Authority Invoice 2013 on March eight, 2013. The institution of a Nationwide Counter Terrorism Authority (NCTA) will play an essential position within the efforts to fight terrorism. In accordance with the mandate given to NCTA, it's going to “coordinate counter terrorism and counter extremism efforts in view of the character and magnitude of the terrorist risk; and to current strategic coverage choices to the federal government for consideration/implementation by the stakeholders after scientifically learning the phenomenon of extremism and terrorism in historic and professional perspective. ” Secondly, Pakistan’s military is taking a harder stance and rising its consideration to the terrorism drawback, as indicated by the choice of Pakistan’s military chief to deal with the issue of terrorism as an operational precedence. 013 can be an election yr in Pakistan, with nationwide and provincial elections scheduled for Could 11, 2013. TTP has already focused quite a few political occasions in Khyber Paktunkhwa and particularly the Awami Nationwide Occasion’s election marketing campaign. The political occasion or events that can type the following authorities is not going to solely inherit a disaster within the power and monetary sectors however will even must make exhausting choices concerning the nation’s battle towards terror. CONCLUSIONS: Developments in Pakistan counsel that the nation’s terror drawback will solely enhance within the lead-up to 2014 and Pakistan must struggle its battle on terror nicely past 2014, if concrete and decisive steps towards TTP and Lashkar-e-Jhangvi aren't taken. Each organizations need Pakistan to be a Sunni state and are more and more focusing on Shias. The Pakistani individuals and armed forces have paid an enormous value in individuals and materials on this ongoing battle. Until Pakistan addresses the foundation causes of the issue, it is not going to solely persist but in addition worsen.
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